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Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Lopes vs Kevin Vallejos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record18-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
161 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamBrothers of Life MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego LopesNow 1782
If they win+12→ 1794
If they lose-12→ 1770
Kevin VallejosNow 1784
If they win+16→ 1800
If they lose-16→ 1768

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
5.78
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
46%
Strike defense
57%
0.88
Takedown avg.
0.71
50%
Takedown accuracy
29%
69%
Takedown defense
83%
1.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diego LopesKevin Vallejos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (43%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
12 (43%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (14%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Lopes65%
Kevin Vallejos 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 65% favorite over Kevin Vallejos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Vallejos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1782 vs 1784), separated by just 2 points.

Kevin Vallejos enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Vallejos 83%.

Diego Lopes and Kevin Vallejos share 1 common opponent: Jean Silva.

Diego Lopes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2025
Jean Silva
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023