Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Karine Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

Karine Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dione Barbosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dione BarbosaNow 1634
If they win+17→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1619
Karine SilvaNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
64%
Strike defense
49%
2.40
Takedown avg.
2.30
8%
Takedown accuracy
50%
64%
Takedown defense
21%
1.74
Submission avg.
1.53

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaKarine Silva
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
5 (50%)
Submission
8 (42%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Karine Silva51%
Dione Barbosa 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Karine Silva a 51% favorite over Dione Barbosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Karine Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1634, a 29-point edge.

Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karine Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dione Barbosa finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Karine Silva 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.