Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

Jackson McVey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Djorden Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djorden SantosNow 1618
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
Jackson McVeyNow 1648
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
44%
Strike accuracy
69%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
48%
Strike defense
24%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
87%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Djorden SantosJackson McVey
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey77%
Djorden Santos 23%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 77% favorite over Djorden Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Jackson McVey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1618, a 30-point edge.

Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Jackson McVey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.