Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Ozzy Diaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ozzy Diaz
us

Ozzy Diaz

“Ozzy”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Ozzy DiazNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7
Sig. strikes / min
6.44
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.23
48%
Strike defense
59%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
87%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djorden SantosOzzy Diaz
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
4 (36%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Djorden Santos and Ozzy Diaz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1627), separated by just 8 points.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.

Ozzy Diaz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.