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Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Ozzy Diaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ozzy Diaz
us

Ozzy Diaz

“Ozzy”

10-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Ozzy DiazNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.64
Sig. strikes / min
5.33
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.52
49%
Strike defense
61%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
85%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djorden SantosOzzy Diaz
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
4 (36%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Ozzy Diaz52%
Djorden Santos 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 52% favorite over Djorden Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.

Djorden Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.

Ozzy Diaz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.