Combat Edge Intelligence

Dom Mar Fan vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75" Reach74"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dom Mar FanNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
56%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
44%
Strike defense
55%
2
Takedown avg.
2.40
50%
Takedown accuracy
30%
67%
Takedown defense
79%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Dom Mar FanJamie Mullarkey
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (33%)
Submission
3 (17%)
5 (56%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Dom Mar Fan60%
Jamie Mullarkey 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 60% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Mullarkey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Dom Mar Fan and Jamie Mullarkey share 1 common opponent: Quillan Salkilld.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2024
Quillan Salkilld
LossSubmission · 2026