Combat Edge Intelligence

Dom Mar Fan vs Kody Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75" Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Kody Steele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Dom Mar Fan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dom Mar FanNow 1630
If they win+17→ 1647
If they lose-15→ 1615
Kody SteeleNow 1658
If they win+22→ 1680
If they lose-26→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
56%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.20
44%
Strike defense
52%
2
Takedown avg.
1.07
50%
Takedown accuracy
13%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Dom Mar FanKody Steele
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (56%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kody Steele51%
Dom Mar Fan 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Kody Steele a 51% favorite over Dom Mar Fan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Kody Steele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1630, a 28-point edge.

Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kody Steele 75%.

Dom Mar Fan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.