Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes66%
Johnny Walker 34%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 66% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1674, a 95-point edge.
Dominick Reyes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Walker enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dominick Reyes finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 92%.
Dominick Reyes and Johnny Walker share 1 common opponent: Anthony Smith.
Johnny Walker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record24-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach82"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1624 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-20→ 1749
If they win+15→ 1689
If they lose-9→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesJohnny Walker