Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach82"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1760
If they lose-21→ 1728
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-8→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesJohnny Walker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes71%
Johnny Walker 29%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 71% favorite over Johnny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1641, a 108-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.
Dominick Reyes and Johnny Walker share 2 common opponents: Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann.
Johnny Walker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.