Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs Jack Jenkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

Jack Jenkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Don Shainis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Don ShainisNow 1579
If they win+20→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1567
Jack JenkinsNow 1658
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-20→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
50%
Strike accuracy
61%
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
31%
Strike defense
59%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.98
25%
Takedown accuracy
20%
20%
Takedown defense
72%
1.94
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Don ShainisJack Jenkins
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (21%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins70%
Don Shainis 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 70% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Jack Jenkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1579, a 79-point edge.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.