Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs Jack Jenkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record14-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jack Jenkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Don Shainis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Don ShainisNow 1580
If they win+20→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1568
Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-20→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
50%
Strike accuracy
61%
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
31%
Strike defense
59%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.78
25%
Takedown accuracy
64%
20%
Takedown defense
68%
1.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Don ShainisJack Jenkins
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (20%)
Submission
3 (21%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins71%
Don Shainis 29%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 71% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jack Jenkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1580, a 90-point edge.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.