Drakkar Klose vs Joel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-1Record23-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'2"
70"Reach77"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamBandog Fight Club
What's at stake
Drakkar Klose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joel Alvarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1761
If they lose-17→ 1729
If they win+17→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drakkar KloseJoel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joel Alvarez60%
Drakkar Klose 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Joel Alvarez a 60% favorite over Drakkar Klose in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drakkar Klose's way (46%).
Drakkar Klose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1715, a 31-point edge.
Drakkar Klose finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Joel Alvarez 96%.
Joel Alvarez carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.