Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record9-1-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
SecutorTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Mansur Abdul-Malik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-20→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
58%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
48%
Strike defense
46%
1.77
Takedown avg.
1.65
21%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
83%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićMansur Abdul-Malik
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik81%
Duško Todorović 19%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 81% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Mansur Abdul-Malik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1621, a 89-point edge.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.