Duško Todorović vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamW4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Zach Reese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1588
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-19→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Duško TodorovićZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese55%
Duško Todorović 45%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 55% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Zach Reese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1601, a 63-point edge.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Duško Todorović and Zach Reese share 1 common opponent: José Medina.
Zach Reese carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.