Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Gerald Meerschaert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record37-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Gerald MeerschaertNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
48%
Strike defense
53%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.82
10%
Takedown accuracy
30%
47%
Takedown defense
43%
1.11
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusGerald Meerschaert
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (16%)
7 (44%)
Submission
29 (78%)
6 (38%)
Decision
2 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus79%
Gerald Meerschaert 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 79% favorite over Gerald Meerschaert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1650), separated by just 10 points.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.