Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Mansur Abdul-Malik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1673
If they lose-11→ 1649
If they win+15→ 1703
If they lose-17→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin StoltzfusMansur Abdul-Malik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Stoltzfus53%
Mansur Abdul-Malik 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 53% favorite over Mansur Abdul-Malik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mansur Abdul-Malik's way (46%).
Mansur Abdul-Malik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1660, a 28-point edge.
Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.
Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.