Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record9-1-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Mansur Abdul-Malik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+19→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1624
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1710
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
48%
Strike defense
46%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.65
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
83%
1.11
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusMansur Abdul-Malik
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik87%
Dustin Stoltzfus 13%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 87% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Mansur Abdul-Malik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1637, a 73-point edge.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.