Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mark Hulme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamTeam CIT· avg 1712 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Mark HulmeNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
2.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
47%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusMark Hulme
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (40%)
Submission
8 (62%)
6 (40%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Hulme56%
Dustin Stoltzfus 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hulme a 56% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Stoltzfus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark Hulme enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hulme 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.