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Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cháirez vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record22-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
131 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edgar Cháirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edgar CháirezNow 1636
If they win+17→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1621
Tim ElliottNow 1657
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
46%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
46%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
3.61
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
48%
Takedown defense
59%
1.44
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Edgar CháirezTim Elliott
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
9 (64%)
Submission
8 (36%)
1 (7%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott53%
Edgar Cháirez 47%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 53% favorite over Edgar Cháirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1636, a 21-point edge.

Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.

Edgar Cháirez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.