Edgar Cháirez vs Tim Elliott
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Edgar Cháirez55%
Tim Elliott 45%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 55% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Elliott's way (47%).
Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1635, a 23-point edge.
Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Edgar Cháirez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record22-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
131 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1670 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edgar Cháirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1652
If they lose-15→ 1620
If they win+11→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edgar CháirezTim Elliott