Edivan Santos vs Mario Piazzon
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mario Piazzon52%
Edivan Santos 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 52% favorite over Edivan Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Edivan Santos finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.
Edivan Santos and Mario Piazzon share 1 common opponent: Alexander Soldatkin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
19-5-0Record12-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height5'11"
45,0"Reach73"
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
Espaco Religiao da LutaTeamGalpao da Luta· 1674 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edivan SantosMario Piazzon