Eduardo Neves vs Paul Elliott
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Eduardo Neves62%
Paul Elliott 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 62% favorite over Paul Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.
Eduardo Neves carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78.5"Reach76.4"
265 lbsWeight246 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo NevesPaul Elliott