Elez Guri vs Gabriele Lionetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record2-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Gabriele Lionetti is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Elez Guri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-23→ 1485
If they win+23→ 1548
If they lose-25→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elez GuriGabriele Lionetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriele Lionetti53%
Elez Guri 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Lionetti a 53% favorite over Elez Guri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Gabriele Lionetti holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1508, a 17-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.