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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Erber vs Willie van Rooyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Elias Erber
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Elias Erber

“No Time”

3-0-0BantamweightFNC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias ErberNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Willie van RooyenNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Elias ErberWillie van Rooyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (67%)
Submission
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Erber62%
Willie van Rooyen 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Erber a 62% favorite over Willie van Rooyen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Willie van Rooyen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Erber enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Elias Erber finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.