Elisha Ellison vs Roggers Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
78"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamAlcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elisha EllisonRoggers Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roggers Souza54%
Elisha Ellison 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 54% favorite over Elisha Ellison in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elisha Ellison's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1531), separated by just 2 points.
Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roggers Souza 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.