Elves Brener vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elves BrenerJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elves Brener53%
Jared Gordon 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 53% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Elves Brener carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.