Combat Edge Intelligence

Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGrove City BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elves BrenerNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Josiah HarrellNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
48%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.94
51%
Strike defense
30%
0.99
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elves BrenerJosiah Harrell
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
11 (69%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener65%
Josiah Harrell 35%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 65% favorite over Josiah Harrell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josiah Harrell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1699), separated by just 7 points.

Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.

Elves Brener carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.