When is Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener?
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS on Sep 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST.
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener
EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS
DateSep 26, 2026
DivisionLightweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 6:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 3:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sat 11:00 PM
- Central Europe
- Sun 12:00 AM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 8:00 AM
- Your time
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS . Josiah Harrell enters with a 11-1-0 record and Elves Brener enters with a 16-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener quick answers
What event is Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener on?
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS .
What are the records for Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener?
Josiah Harrell enters with a 11-1-0 record and Elves Brener enters with a 16-6-0 record.
What division is Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener?
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener is listed as a Lightweight fight.
Josiah Harrell
Elo1699Good
3Y trend1661 → 1699
Fight Overview
Round3
Time5:00
11-1-0Record16-6-0
27Age28
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
LightweightWeight ClassLightweight
Elves Brener
Elo1692Good
3Y trend1665 → 1692
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Josiah Harrell owns a 7-point Elo edge (good). Elves Brener shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.
Compare Josiah Harrell and Elves Brener across their careers →Elo Recent career Elo trajectory
Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.
Josiah HarrellElves Brener
Recent form
Josiah HarrellL W W W W · +39 Elo last 5
LWWWW
Elves BrenerL W L W W · +28 Elo last 5
LWLWW
Elo edge
Josiah Harrell1699-19 last move
Elves Brener1692-15 last move
Model forecast and your pick
Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.
Combat Edge Model
Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28Fight forecast
35%Josiah Harrell65%Elves Brener
Model favoriteElves Brener
Elo baseline49% for Elves Brener
Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo
Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.
Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.
Forecast context
Model flips EloWhat separates the fighters
The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Elves Brener is 65%, after Elo alone favored Josiah Harrell at 51%.
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?
Pick every bout on this card →Your pick stays private unless you choose to share a completed card.
Stat advantages
Josiah HarrellvsElves Brener
Takedown defense
0%vs76%
Takedown average
0vs0.99
Sig. strikes landed per min
2.32vs4.76
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
10.94vs5.86
Finishing profile
Josiah HarrellKO/TKO leads 55% of wins
Elves Brenersubmission leads 69% of wins
Common opponents
No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.
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