Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record16-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
Myktybek Orolbai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Elves Brener carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1662
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-18→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elves BrenerMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elves Brener and Myktybek Orolbai within a point of even.
Myktybek Orolbai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1676, a 39-point edge.
Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Myktybek Orolbai carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.