Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record16-2-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
Myktybek Orolbai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Elves Brener carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1678
If they win+14→ 1744
If they lose-18→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elves BrenerMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai64%
Elves Brener 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 64% favorite over Elves Brener in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Myktybek Orolbai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1692, a 38-point edge.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Elves Brener finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Myktybek Orolbai carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.