Combat Edge Intelligence

Eoin Sheridan vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eoin SheridanNow 1647
If they win+24→ 1671
If they lose-24→ 1623
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Eoin SheridanTim Means
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (15%)
2 (33%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Eoin Sheridan87%
Tim Means 13%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 87% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Eoin Sheridan enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eoin Sheridan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Eoin Sheridan carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.