Erin Blanchfield vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Rose Namajunas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1780
If they lose-19→ 1748
If they win+19→ 1714
If they lose-13→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield79%
Rose Namajunas 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 79% favorite over Rose Namajunas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1695, a 72-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Erin Blanchfield and Rose Namajunas share 4 common opponents: Tracy Cortez, Manon Fiorot, Jéssica Andrade and Miranda Maverick.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.