Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tracy Cortez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-20→ 1747
If they win+20→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldTracy Cortez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield73%
Tracy Cortez 27%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 73% favorite over Tracy Cortez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1669, a 98-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tracy Cortez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Cortez 17%.
Erin Blanchfield and Tracy Cortez share 1 common opponent: Rose Namajunas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.