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Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nasrat Haqparast carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1762
If they win+14→ 1776
If they lose-18→ 1744
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.43
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
54%
Strike defense
63%
0.32
Takedown avg.
0.34
0%
Takedown accuracy
5%
66%
Takedown defense
86%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
5 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (18%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics63%
Nasrat Haqparast 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 63% favorite over Nasrat Haqparast in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1711, a 51-point edge.

Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Esteban Ribovics and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: King Green.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2026
King Green
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022