Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1728
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.27
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
55%
Strike defense
63%
0.35
Takedown avg.
0.35
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
66%
Takedown defense
85%
0.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsNasrat Haqparast
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
5 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Esteban Ribovics and Nasrat Haqparast within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1728 vs 1728), separated by just 0 points.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.