Fábio Maldonado vs Kevin Christian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'7"
75"Reach80"
227 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoKevin Christian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Christian67%
Fábio Maldonado 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 67% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1560), separated by just 3 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Christian 100%.
Kevin Christian carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.