Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Maldonado vs Kevin Christian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Combat Edge model read

Kevin Christian63%
Fábio Maldonado37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 63% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Christian 100%.

Kevin Christian carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Tale of the tape

28-18-0 Record 9-4-0
Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'1" Height 6'7"
75" Reach 80"
227 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Team Maldonado Team Cosme Junior Team

Tracked stat edges

5.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.64
59%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
2.65
54%
Strike defense
44%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0.55
Submission avg.
2.34

Trajectory

Fábio Maldonado Kevin Christian
1550 1600 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

19 (68%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
2 (7%)
Submission
5 (56%)
7 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)