Felipe dos Santos vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Felipe dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+35→ 1617
If they lose-13→ 1569
If they win+9→ 1759
If they lose-23→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe dos SantosManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape87%
Felipe dos Santos 13%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 87% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1582, a 168-point edge.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Felipe dos Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.