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Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Ion Cutelaba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
md

Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record20-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTimoshkov Sport Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Ion CutelabaNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
57%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
44%
Strike defense
46%
3.70
Takedown avg.
4.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
7%
88%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoIon Cutelaba
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Ion Cutelaba69%
Felipe Franco 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 69% favorite over Felipe Franco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1643), separated by just 3 points.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ion Cutelaba 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.