Fernando Padilla vs Sean Woodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record14-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWolves' Den Training Center
What's at stake
Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Fernando Padilla carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1662
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fernando PadillaSean Woodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Woodson68%
Fernando Padilla 32%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 68% favorite over Fernando Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1675, a 58-point edge.
Fernando Padilla finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 36%.
Fernando Padilla and Sean Woodson share 1 common opponent: Julian Erosa.
Sean Woodson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.