Fernando Padilla vs Sean Woodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record13-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team OyamaTeamWolves' Den Training Center
What's at stake
Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Fernando Padilla carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1659
If they win+14→ 1735
If they lose-18→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fernando PadillaSean Woodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Woodson60%
Fernando Padilla 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 60% favorite over Fernando Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1673, a 48-point edge.
Fernando Padilla finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 38%.
Fernando Padilla and Sean Woodson share 1 common opponent: Julian Erosa.
Sean Woodson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.