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Combat Edge Intelligence

Florim Zendeli vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1660Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-1Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'5"
77"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1649 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Florim ZendeliNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Trey WatersNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.40
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Florim ZendeliTrey Waters
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (44%)
Submission
3 (30%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters58%
Florim Zendeli 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 58% favorite over Florim Zendeli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Florim Zendeli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Florim Zendeli finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.