Combat Edge Intelligence

Floyd Sword vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
br

Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Four CornersTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Floyd SwordNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.78
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
43%
Strike accuracy
59%
1.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
40%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
1.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Floyd SwordMarco Tulio
16001650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (58%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio60%
Floyd Sword 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 60% favorite over Floyd Sword in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Floyd Sword's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1672), separated by just 3 points.

Floyd Sword enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Floyd Sword finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.