Francisco Trinaldo vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record39-19-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jim Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-14→ 1751
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-10→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller56%
Francisco Trinaldo 44%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 56% favorite over Francisco Trinaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Trinaldo's way (44%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1720, a 45-point edge.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Francisco Trinaldo and Jim Miller share 3 common opponents: Bobby Green, King Green and Alexander Hernandez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024