Francisco Trinaldo vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-9-0Record39-19-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jim Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1776
If they lose-14→ 1752
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-10→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco TrinaldoJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francisco Trinaldo and Jim Miller within a point of even.
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1720, a 46-point edge.
Francisco Trinaldo finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Francisco Trinaldo and Jim Miller share 3 common opponents: Bobby Green, King Green and Alexander Hernandez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024