Gabriel Braga vs Timur Khizriev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record19-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tropa ThaiTeamDagFighter· 1719 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Timur Khizriev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Braga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1724
If they win+13→ 1820
If they lose-19→ 1788
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BragaTimur Khizriev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timur Khizriev78%
Gabriel Braga 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Timur Khizriev a 78% favorite over Gabriel Braga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Timur Khizriev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1737, a 70-point edge.
Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Gabriel Braga finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 21%.
Gabriel Braga and Timur Khizriev share 1 common opponent: Justin Gonzales.
Gabriel Braga carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.