Gabriel Braga vs Timur Khizriev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record18-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tropa ThaiTeamDagFighter· 1715 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Timur Khizriev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Braga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1804
If they lose-18→ 1772
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel BragaTimur Khizriev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Braga60%
Timur Khizriev 40%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Braga a 60% favorite over Timur Khizriev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Timur Khizriev's way (43%).
Timur Khizriev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1790 to 1744, a 46-point edge.
Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Gabriel Braga finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 22%.
Gabriel Braga and Timur Khizriev share 1 common opponent: Justin Gonzales.
Gabriel Braga carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.