PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga

EventPFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2
DateOct 16, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueWintrust Arena
BroadcastESPN 2
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET)
Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT)
Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe
Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 10:00 AM

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga is a scheduled Featherweight fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Timur Khizriev enters with a 18-0-0 record and Gabriel Braga enters with a 17-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga quick answers

When is Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga?

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga is listed for PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2 on Oct 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.

What event is Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga on?

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga is listed on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2.

What are the records for Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga?

Timur Khizriev enters with a 18-0-0 record and Gabriel Braga enters with a 17-3-0 record.

What division is Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga?

Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel Braga is listed as a Featherweight fight.

Timur KhizrievImam |18-0-0Timur Khizriev vs Gabriel BragaGabriel Braga17-3-0
ruTimur KhizrievImam18-0-0Timur Khizrievru

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
18-0-0Record17-3-0
30Age28
5'8"Height5'10"
68.5"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight
brGabriel Braga17-3-0brGabriel Braga
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Timur Khizriev owns a 46-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Timur Khizriev and Gabriel Braga across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Timur KhizrievGabriel Braga
1700175018002023202420252026

Recent form

Timur KhizrievW W W W W · +68 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Gabriel BragaW L W W L · +3 Elo last 5
WLWWL

Elo edge

Timur Khizriev1790+16 last move
Gabriel Braga1744+12 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
55%Timur Khizriev45%Gabriel Braga
Model favoriteTimur Khizriev
Elo baseline57% for Timur Khizriev
Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Timur Khizriev leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1790 · 1744Timur Khizriev leads by 46 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1625 · 1680Gabriel Braga faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth18 · 20 fightsGabriel Braga has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Timur KhizrievvsGabriel Braga

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Timur Khizrievdecision leads 78% of wins
Gabriel Bragadecision leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

Justin GonzalesTimur Khizriev: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 17, 2023Gabriel Braga: win · KO (Punch) · Apr 19, 2024

Tale of the tape

Timur KhizrievGabriel Braga
0Sig. strikes landed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.97
0Sig. strike accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 47%
0Sig. strikes absorbed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
0Sig. strike defense0
UFC featherweight average : 54%
0Takedown average0
UFC featherweight average : 1.56
0Takedown accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 31%
0Takedown defense0
UFC featherweight average : 55%
0Submission average0
UFC featherweight average : 0.62
3Wins by knockout7
1Wins by submission1
14Wins by decision9
0Losses by knockout2
0Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision1

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