Gabriel Miranda vs Shosuke Kinoshita
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Shosuke Kinoshita51%
Gabriel Miranda 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shosuke Kinoshita a 51% favorite over Gabriel Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Miranda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.
Gabriel Miranda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Miranda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shosuke Kinoshita 23%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record13-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
CM System· 1651 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamReversal Gym Yokohama Ground Slam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel MirandaShosuke Kinoshita