Gabriel Santos vs Jack Jenkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Gabriel Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jack Jenkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1693
If they lose-17→ 1661
If they win+17→ 1675
If they lose-15→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel SantosJack Jenkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Santos57%
Jack Jenkins 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Santos a 57% favorite over Jack Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Gabriel Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1658, a 20-point edge.
Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gabriel Santos finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.
Gabriel Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.