Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriel Santos vs Jack Jenkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record14-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriel SantosNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
60%
Strike accuracy
61%
4.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
48%
Strike defense
59%
3.44
Takedown avg.
1.78
53%
Takedown accuracy
64%
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.77
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriel SantosJack Jenkins
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
5 (42%)
Submission
3 (21%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriel Santos60%
Jack Jenkins 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Santos a 60% favorite over Jack Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1670), separated by just 8 points.

Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gabriel Santos finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.

Gabriel Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.