Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-5-1Record16-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamGracie Barra Jacksonville

What's at stake

Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jakub Kaszuba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gadzhi RabadanovNow 1773
If they win+11→ 1784
If they lose-13→ 1760
Jakub KaszubaNow 1746
If they win+17→ 1763
If they lose-15→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gadzhi RabadanovJakub Kaszuba
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
5 (19%)
Submission
2 (13%)
12 (44%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gadzhi Rabadanov and Jakub Kaszuba within a point of even.

Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1746, a 27-point edge.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jakub Kaszuba 50%.

Jakub Kaszuba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.