Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-5-1Record16-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamGracie Barra Jacksonville

What's at stake

Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jakub Kaszuba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gadzhi RabadanovNow 1785
If they win+11→ 1796
If they lose-13→ 1772
Jakub KaszubaNow 1753
If they win+17→ 1770
If they lose-15→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Gadzhi RabadanovJakub Kaszuba
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (39%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
5 (18%)
Submission
2 (13%)
12 (43%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gadzhi Rabadanov56%
Jakub Kaszuba 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 56% favorite over Jakub Kaszuba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1753, a 32-point edge.

Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jakub Kaszuba 50%.

Jakub Kaszuba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.