Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba

Aug 22, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast50%Gadzhi Rabadanov50%Jakub KaszubaFull forecast

DateAug 22, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBenchmark International Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, August 22, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Gadzhi Rabadanov28-5-1Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub KaszubaJakub KaszubaThe Auditor |16-0-0

Gadzhi Rabadanov28-5-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

28-5-1Record16-0-0

33Age31

5'8"Height5'11"

71"Reach73"

156 lbsWeight155 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Jakub KaszubaThe Auditor16-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gadzhi Rabadanov owns a 26-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Gadzhi Rabadanov and Jakub Kaszuba across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Gadzhi RabadanovJakub Kaszuba

Recent form

Gadzhi RabadanovW W L W W · +24 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Jakub KaszubaW W W W W · +61 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Gadzhi Rabadanov1787+8 last move

Jakub Kaszuba1761+17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Gadzhi Rabadanov#13 of 433 active Lightweight fighters · 1787 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brent Primus (rated 1733 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alfie Davis (rated 1704 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +24 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #12 Alexander Shabliy, 4 ahead of #14 Quillan Salkilld.

Jakub Kaszuba#19 of 433 active Lightweight fighters · 1761 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Natan Schulte (rated 1774 at the time): +17.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +61 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #18 Esteban Ribovics, 3 ahead of #20 Manoel Sousa.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1554 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

50%Gadzhi Rabadanov50%Jakub Kaszuba

Model favoriteGadzhi Rabadanov

Elo baseline54% for Gadzhi Rabadanov

Matchup adjustment-4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Gadzhi RabadanovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Even forecast

The full model has this matchup at 50/50, while Elo alone leans Gadzhi Rabadanov at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1787 · 1761Gadzhi Rabadanov leads by 26 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1659 · 1554Gadzhi Rabadanov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth35 · 16 fightsGadzhi Rabadanov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Gadzhi RabadanovNow 1787 · #13 Lightweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1798

Loses by decision-13→ 1774

Jakub KaszubaNow 1761 · #19 Lightweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1778

Loses by decision-15→ 1746

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Gadzhi RabadanovvsJakub Kaszuba

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Gadzhi Rabadanovdecision leads 43% of wins

Jakub Kaszubadecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Gadzhi RabadanovJakub Kaszuba

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

11Wins by knockout6

5Wins by submission2

12Wins by decision8

2Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision0

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Jakub Kaszuba is a scheduled Fight card fight on PFL TAMPA : CYBORG VS VIEIRA. Gadzhi Rabadanov enters with a 28-5-1 record and Jakub Kaszuba enters with a 16-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.