Geoff Neal vs Punahele Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach 72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Geoff NealPunahele Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal55%
Punahele Soriano 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 55% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Punahele Soriano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.
Geoff Neal and Punahele Soriano share 1 common opponent: Uros Medic.
Geoff Neal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.