Combat Edge Intelligence

George Hardwick vs Ismael Bonfim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Middlesbrough Fight Academy· 1598 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

George HardwickNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Ismael BonfimNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
5.51
39%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
71%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
83%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

George HardwickIsmael Bonfim
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (20%)
6 (40%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting George Hardwick and Ismael Bonfim within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

George Hardwick finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.