Combat Edge Intelligence

Ger Harris vs Kayck Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ger Harris
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Ger Harris

“The GTA Selector”

7-4-0FlyweightCWFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach-
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG Charlestown· 1622 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

Ger Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kayck Alencar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ger HarrisNow 1560
If they win+14→ 1574
If they lose-18→ 1542
Kayck AlencarNow 1512
If they win+18→ 1530
If they lose-14→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ger HarrisKayck Alencar
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kayck Alencar56%
Ger Harris 44%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 56% favorite over Ger Harris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ger Harris's way (43%).

Ger Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1560 to 1512, a 48-point edge.

Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kayck Alencar 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.