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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ger Harris vs Kayck Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ger Harris
ie

Ger Harris

“The GTA Selector”

7-5-0FlyweightCWFC

1545Average

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record12-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach-
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG Charlestown· 1628 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

Ger Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kayck Alencar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ger HarrisNow 1545
If they win+15→ 1560
If they lose-17→ 1528
Kayck AlencarNow 1514
If they win+17→ 1531
If they lose-15→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ger HarrisKayck Alencar
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kayck Alencar53%
Ger Harris 47%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 53% favorite over Ger Harris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ger Harris's way (46%).

Ger Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1545 to 1514, a 31-point edge.

Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kayck Alencar 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.