Combat Edge Intelligence

Ger Harris vs Kayck Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ger Harris
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Ger Harris

“The GTA Selector”

7-4-0FlyweightCWFC

1559Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG CharlestownTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

Ger Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kayck Alencar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ger HarrisNow 1559
If they win+14→ 1573
If they lose-18→ 1541
Kayck AlencarNow 1512
If they win+18→ 1530
If they lose-14→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ger HarrisKayck Alencar
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Ger Harris51%
Kayck Alencar 49%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ger Harris a 51% favorite over Kayck Alencar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ger Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1559 to 1512, a 47-point edge.

Ger Harris finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kayck Alencar 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.