Combat Edge Intelligence

Gillian Robertson vs Veronica Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record10-5-1
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Veronica Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gillian RobertsonNow 1711
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-21→ 1690
Veronica HardyNow 1591
If they win+21→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
56%
Strike defense
50%
2.76
Takedown avg.
0.82
41%
Takedown accuracy
6%
39%
Takedown defense
52%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Gillian RobertsonVeronica Hardy
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
9 (53%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (29%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson76%
Veronica Hardy 24%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 76% favorite over Veronica Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1591, a 120-point edge.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gillian Robertson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.

Gillian Robertson and Veronica Hardy share 2 common opponents: Polyana Viana and JJ Aldrich.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
JJ Aldrich
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
WinKO/TKO · 2024
Polyana Viana
WinSubmission · 2019