AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Greg Foster vs Tomáš Mudroch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Greg Foster
us

Greg Foster

“Punch First”

9-1-0LightweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
70"Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Greg FosterNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Tomáš MudrochNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1489 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Greg FosterTomáš Mudroch
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Mudroch59%
Greg Foster 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 59% favorite over Greg Foster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Greg Foster enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Greg Foster finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.