Gregory Rodrigues vs Jack Hermansson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record24-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFrontline Academy
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jack Hermansson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-14→ 1751
If they win+14→ 1735
If they lose-10→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues74%
Jack Hermansson 26%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 74% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1721, a 44-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.
Gregory Rodrigues and Jack Hermansson share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Jack Hermansson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.