Gregory Rodrigues vs Jack Hermansson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record24-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFrontline Academy
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jack Hermansson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1788
If they lose-14→ 1764
If they win+14→ 1745
If they lose-10→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues62%
Jack Hermansson 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 62% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1731, a 47-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.
Gregory Rodrigues and Jack Hermansson share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Jack Hermansson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.