Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregory Rodrigues vs Jared Cannonier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record18-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-14→ 1751
Jared CannonierNow 1707
If they win+19→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.35
51%
Strike defense
56%
1.90
Takedown avg.
0.54
16%
Takedown accuracy
4%
75%
Takedown defense
65%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gregory RodriguesJared Cannonier
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (61%)
3 (16%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (21%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues83%
Jared Cannonier 17%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 83% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1707, a 58-point edge.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.

Jared Cannonier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.