Gregory Rodrigues vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1786
If they lose-15→ 1762
If they win+20→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gregory RodriguesJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues92%
Jared Cannonier 8%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 92% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1693, a 84-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Gregory Rodrigues and Jared Cannonier share 1 common opponent: Christian Leroy Duncan.
Jared Cannonier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.