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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregory Rodrigues vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Roman Kopylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gregory RodriguesNow 1778
If they win+10→ 1788
If they lose-14→ 1764
Roman KopylovNow 1718
If they win+19→ 1737
If they lose-13→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.54
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.08
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.90
Takedown avg.
1.12
16%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
89%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gregory RodriguesRoman Kopylov
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
13 (81%)
3 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (25%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues69%
Roman Kopylov 31%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 69% favorite over Roman Kopylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1718, a 60-point edge.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 81%.

Gregory Rodrigues and Roman Kopylov share 1 common opponent: Anthony Hernandez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Anthony Hernandez
LossSubmission · 2024